| [ar,ma,ASAsellog,ASAcontrol]=armasel(sig,cand_ar_order,cand_ma_order,cand_arma_order,arma_order_diff,last)
|
function [ar,ma,ASAsellog,ASAcontrol]=armasel(sig,cand_ar_order,cand_ma_order,cand_arma_order,arma_order_diff,last)
%ARMASEL ARMAsel model identification
% [AR,MA,SELLOG] = ARMASEL(SIG) estimates autoregressive, moving
% average, and autoregressive moving average models from the data
% vector SIG and selects the model with optimal predictive qualities.
% The AR and MA parts of the selected model, each possibly of order 0,
% are returned in the parameter vectors AR and MA. The structure SELLOG
% provides additional information on the selection process.
%
% SELLOG contains the fields 'ar', 'ma' and 'arma', in which SELLOG
% structures are nested, as returned by the functions SIG2AR, SIG2MA
% and SIG2ARMA, invoked by ARMASEL. In the field 'armasel' a structure
% is nested that reports information about the final stage of model
% selection, where the preselected AR, MA and ARMA models are compared.
%
% ARMASEL(SIG,CAND_AR_ORDER,CAND_MA_ORDER,CAND_ARMA_ORDER,ARMA_ORDER_DIFF)
% narrows the selection to candidate models with orders provided by the
% rows CAND_AR_ORDER, CAND_MA_ORDER, CAND_ARMA_ORDER and the scalar
% ARMA_ORDER_DIFF, effecting the selection of AR, MA and ARMA models
% independently. For any of these arguments it is allowed to pass an
% empty array. Alternatively, additional arguments may be omitted from
% the input list. In both cases, default values are automatically
% determined and substituted for the missing arguments. The functions
% SIG2AR, SIG2MA and SIG2ARMA provide additional information on
% defining candidate orders. Note in this respect, that the candidate
% AR orders of the ARMA model are called CAND_ARMA_ORDER in this help
% text, while in SIG2ARMA they are called CAND_AR_ORDER.
%
% The selection of MA and ARMA models can be conditioned to the
% selection of AR models from a specific set of candidate orders
% CAND_AR_ORDER. See ASAGLOB_AR_COND for more information.
%
% Without user intervention, the mean of SIG is subtracted from the
% data. To control the subtraction of the mean, see the help topics on
% ASAGLOB_SUBTR_MEAN and ASAGLOB_MEAN_ADJ.
%
% ARMASEL is an ARMASA main function.
%
% See also: SIG2AR, SIG2MA, SIG2ARMA.
% References: P. M. T. Broersen, Facts and Fiction in Spectral
% Analysis, IEEE Transactions on Instrumentation and
% Measurement, Vol. 49, No. 4, August 2000, pp. 766-772.
%Header
%===================================================================================================
%Declaration of variables
%------------------------
%Declare and assign values to local variables
%according to the input argument pattern
switch nargin
case 1
if isa(sig,'struct'), ASAcontrol=sig; sig=[];
else, ASAcontrol=[];
end
cand_ar_order=[]; cand_ma_order=[]; cand_arma_order=[]; arma_order_diff=[];
case 2
if isa(cand_ar_order,'struct'), ASAcontrol=cand_ar_order; cand_ar_order=[];
else, ASAcontrol=[];
end
cand_ma_order=[]; cand_arma_order=[]; arma_order_diff=[];
case 3
if isa(cand_ma_order,'struct'), ASAcontrol=cand_ma_order; cand_ma_order=[];
else, ASAcontrol=[];
end
cand_arma_order=[]; arma_order_diff=[];
case 4
if isa(cand_arma_order,'struct'), ASAcontrol=cand_arma_order; cand_arma_order=[];
else, ASAcontrol=[];
end
arma_order_diff=[];
case 5
if isa(arma_order_diff,'struct'), ASAcontrol=arma_order_diff; arma_order_diff=[];
else, ASAcontrol=[];
end
case 6
if isa(last,'struct'), ASAcontrol=last;
else, error(ASAerr(39))
end
otherwise
error(ASAerr(1,mfilename))
end
%Declare ASAglob variables
ASAglob = {'ASAglob_subtr_mean';'ASAglob_mean_adj';'ASAglob_rc';'ASAglob_ar';'ASAglob_final_f'; ...
'ASAglob_final_b';'ASAglob_ar_cond'};
%Assign values to ASAglob variables by screening the
%caller workspace
for ASAcounter = 1:length(ASAglob)
ASAvar = ASAglob{ASAcounter};
eval(['global ' ASAvar]);
if evalin('caller',['exist(''' ASAvar ''',''var'')'])
eval([ASAvar '=evalin(''caller'',ASAvar);']);
else
eval([ASAvar '=[];']);
end
end
%ARMASA-function version information
%-----------------------------------
%This ARMASA-function is characterized by
%its current version,
ASAcontrol.is_version = [2000 12 30 20 0 0];
%and its compatability with versions down to,
ASAcontrol.comp_version = [2000 12 30 20 0 0];
%This function calls other functions of the ARMASA
%toolbox. The versions of these other functions
%must be greater than or equal to:
ASAcontrol.req_version.sig2ar = [2000 12 30 20 0 0];
ASAcontrol.req_version.sig2ma = [2000 12 30 20 0 0];
ASAcontrol.req_version.sig2arma = [2000 12 30 20 0 0];
%Checks
%------
if ~any(strcmp(fieldnames(ASAcontrol),'error_chk')) | ASAcontrol.error_chk
%Perform standard error checks
%Input argument format checks
ASAcontrol.error_chk = 1;
if ~isnum(sig)
error(ASAerr(11,'sig'))
elseif ~isavector(sig)
error([ASAerr(14) ASAerr(15,'sig')])
elseif size(sig,2)>1
sig = sig(:);
warning(ASAwarn(25,{'row';'sig';'column'},ASAcontrol))
end
if ~isempty(cand_ar_order)
if ~isnum(cand_ar_order) | ~isintvector(cand_ar_order) |...
cand_ar_order(1)<0 | ~isascending(cand_ar_order)
error(ASAerr(12,{'candidate';'cand_ar_order'}))
elseif size(cand_ar_order,1)>1
cand_ar_order = cand_ar_order';
warning(ASAwarn(25,{'column';'cand_ar_order';'row'},ASAcontrol))
end
end
if ~isempty(cand_ma_order)
if ~isnum(cand_ma_order) | ~isintvector(cand_ma_order) |...
cand_ma_order(1)<0 | ~isascending(cand_ma_order)
error(ASAerr(12,{'candidate';'cand_ma_order'}))
elseif size(cand_ma_order,1)>1
cand_ma_order = cand_ma_order';
warning(ASAwarn(25,{'column';'cand_ma_order';'row'},ASAcontrol))
end
end
if ~isempty(cand_arma_order)
if ~isnum(cand_arma_order) | ~isintvector(cand_arma_order) |...
cand_arma_order(1)<0 | ~isascending(cand_arma_order)
error(ASAerr(12,{'candidate';'cand_arma_order'}))
elseif size(cand_arma_order,1)>1
cand_arma_order = cand_arma_order';
warning(ASAwarn(25,{'column';'cand_arma_order';'row'},ASAcontrol))
end
end
if ~isempty(arma_order_diff) & ...
(~isnum(arma_order_diff) | ...
~isintscalar(arma_order_diff) |...
arma_order_diff<0)
error(ASAerr(17,'arma_order_diff'))
end
%Input argument value checks
if ~isreal(sig)
error(ASAerr(13))
end
if max(cand_ar_order) > length(sig)-1
error(ASAerr(37,'cand_ar_order'))
end
if max(cand_ma_order) > length(sig)-1
error(ASAerr(37,'cand_ma_order'))
end
if ~isempty(cand_arma_order) & ...
~isempty(arma_order_diff)
if cand_arma_order(1)~=0 & ...
(arma_order_diff < 1 | ...
arma_order_diff > cand_arma_order(1))
error(ASAerr(18,{'arma_order_diff';'1';...
num2str(cand_arma_order(1))}))
elseif length(cand_arma_order)>1 & ...
(arma_order_diff < 1 | ...
arma_order_diff > cand_arma_order(2))
error(ASAerr(18,{'arma_order_diff';'1';...
num2str(cand_arma_order(2))}))
end
end
end
if ~any(strcmp(fieldnames(ASAcontrol),'version_chk')) | ASAcontrol.version_chk
%Perform version check
ASAcontrol.version_chk = 1;
%Make sure the requested version of this function
%complies with its actual version
ASAversionchk(ASAcontrol);
%Make sure the requested versions of the called
%functions comply with their actual versions
sig2ar(ASAcontrol);
sig2ma(ASAcontrol);
sig2arma(ASAcontrol);
end
if ~any(strcmp(fieldnames(ASAcontrol),'run')) | ASAcontrol.run
%Run the computational kernel
ASAcontrol.run = 1;
ASAcontrol.version_chk = 0;
ASAcontrol.error_chk = 0;
ASAdate = now;
%Main
%========================================================================================
%Initialization of variables
%---------------------------
if isempty(ASAglob_subtr_mean) | ASAglob_subtr_mean
sig = sig-mean(sig);
ASAglob_subtr_mean = 0;
if isempty(ASAglob_mean_adj)
ASAglob_mean_adj = 1;
end
elseif isempty(ASAglob_mean_adj)
ASAglob_mean_adj = 0;
end
if isempty(cand_ar_order) & isempty(cand_ma_order) & isempty(cand_arma_order)
default_order = 1;
else
default_order = 0;
end
if ASAglob_ar_cond
ASAglob_ar_cond = 1;
else
if default_order
ASAglob_ar_cond = 1;
else
ASAglob_ar_cond = 0;
end
end
%AR-, MA- and ARMA-model identification
%--------------------------------------
[ar_ar,ar_sellog] = sig2ar(sig,cand_ar_order,ASAcontrol);
[ma_ma,ma_sellog] = sig2ma(sig,cand_ma_order,ASAcontrol);
[arma_ar,arma_ma,arma_sellog] = sig2arma(sig,cand_arma_order,arma_order_diff,ASAcontrol);
%Selection of the ARMAsel model
%------------------------------
%Asess the selected model orders
order = [length(ar_ar)-1;length(ma_ma)-1;length(arma_ar)-1];
%Asess the corresponding prediction error estimates
if default_order
sel_location = order+1;
else
sel_location = ...
[find(order(1) == ar_sellog.cand_order);...
find(order(2) == ma_sellog.cand_order);...
find(order(3) == arma_sellog.cand_ar_order)];
end
pe_est = [ar_sellog.pe_est(sel_location(1));...
ma_sellog.pe_est(sel_location(2));...
arma_sellog.pe_est(sel_location(3))];
%Select the model with the smallest prediction error estimate
[sel_pe_est,model] = min(pe_est);
%Arranging output arguments
%--------------------------
%Retrieve the parameters of the selected model
ar = 1;
ma = 1;
switch model
case 1 %The AR model has been selected
ar = ar_ar;
case 2 %The MA model has been selected
ma = ma_ma;
case 3 %The ARMA model has been selected
ar = arma_ar;
ma = arma_ma;
end
%Gernerate a structure variable ASAsellog to report the selection process
if nargout>2
ASAsellog.funct_name = mfilename;
ASAsellog.funct_version = ASAcontrol.is_version;
ASAsellog.date_time = [datestr(ASAdate,8) 32 datestr(ASAdate,0)];
ASAsellog.comp_time = ar_sellog.comp_time+ma_sellog.comp_time+arma_sellog.comp_time;
ASAsellog.armasel.ar = ar;
ASAsellog.armasel.ma = ma;
ASAsellog.armasel.ar_pe_est = pe_est(1);
ASAsellog.armasel.ma_pe_est = pe_est(2);
ASAsellog.armasel.arma_pe_est = pe_est(3);
ASAsellog.armasel.ar_cond = ASAglob_ar_cond;
ASAsellog.armasel.mean_adj = ASAglob_mean_adj;
ASAsellog.ar = ar_sellog;
ASAsellog.ma = ma_sellog;
ASAsellog.arma = arma_sellog;
end
%Footer
%=====================================================
else %Skip the computational kernel
%Return ASAcontrol as the first output argument
if nargout>1
warning(ASAwarn(9,mfilename,ASAcontrol))
end
ar = ASAcontrol;
ASAcontrol = [];
end
%Program history
%======================================================================
%
% Version Programmer(s) E-mail address
% ------- ------------- --------------
% former versions P.M.T. Broersen p.m.t.broersen@tudelft.nl
% S. de Waele waele@tn.tudelft.nl
% [2000 12 30 20 0 0] W. Wunderink wwunderink01@freeler.nl
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