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Hang Qian


Iowa State University

53 total contributions since 2011

He is a researcher in time series analysis and Bayesian econometrics.
Professional Interests: Bayesian Econometrics

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Answered
time series with rolling returns using periodicreturns
Yes, you can use these returns for time series model estimation (arima, arima-garch etc) and forecasting. If the daily return is...

11 months ago | 1

| accepted

Answered
Econometrics Toolbox Cross Correlation, how to use?
Hi Mehmet, If your time series is sorted from newest to oldest, the first thing that you may want to do is to revert the orde...

1 year ago | 0

| accepted

Answered
(G)ARCH estimation. Input series.
Hi Dmitry, If we have obtained the residuals, then we can create a GARCH model and just estimate the variance equation, like ...

1 year ago | 0

| accepted

Answered
How to decide the stationary about time series.
Hi Hong, As the name suggests, ADF is Dickey-Fuller test augmented by lagged regressors. The default value of MATLAB function...

1 year ago | 0

Answered
Correct fmincon() constraints for GARCH?
Hi Michael, Typically we add some inequality constraints to ensure a positive conditional variance in the GARCH(1,1) model, l...

1 year ago | 0

Answered
Error using garch/validateModel; Non-zero degree P requires a non-zero degree Q.
There is a work-around: *set the optimization algorithm as interior-point so that Q will not be exactly zero.* options = opt...

2 years ago | 0

Answered
Handling with an Error caused by using GARCH(1,1) in Matlab
Hi Manuel, The error message “Non-zero degree P requires a non-zero degree Q” basically says that the conditional volatility ...

2 years ago | 0

Answered
augmented dickey fuller Matlab
Hi Jan, Yes, ADFTEST without augmentation is the standard Dickey-Fuller test, where Y(t) = c + phi * Y(t-1) + noise, H0...

2 years ago | 1

Answered
Matlab arima estimate error
I guess that the lower bound constraints become effective under some model specifications. When the estimated model has a reduce...

2 years ago | 0

Submitted


MIDAS Matlab Toolbox
Repack of Mi(xed) Da(ta) S(ampling) regressions (MIDAS) written by Eric Ghysels and collaborators

2 years ago | 58 downloads |

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Answered
VMA(1) estimation
Hi Wei, In many cases, the VMA coefficients cannot be reliably estimated, unless there is a large sample with high quality da...

2 years ago | 0

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Answered
new Garch fit function
Hi Muhamed, The new GARCH fit function is called “estimate”, which uses data to estimate the unknown parameters in the GARCH ...

2 years ago | 0

Answered
hac function: pvalues or confidence intervals
Hi Fregior, Yes, the point estimator returned by HAC is the same as the OLS estimator. HAC returns the covariance matrix E...

2 years ago | 0

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Answered
How do I compute bootstrap confidence interval for a VAR impulse response function?
Hi Samuel, To bootstrap the confidence interval, simulate VAR coefficients using the VAR point estimator and its covariance m...

2 years ago | 0

Answered
What are the differences in implementation of ARIMA models (estimate and forecast) in R2015b vs R2017a
Hi Jonas, ARIMA model is estimated by maximum likelihood, which requires numeric maximization using the Optimization Toolbox. T...

2 years ago | 0

Answered
hac results vary bewteen MATLAB R2015b and MATLAB R2016b
Hi Lucia, Thank you for reporting this edge case. The codes work on my Windows computer both in R2016a and R2016b. The res...

3 years ago | 0

Answered
Question about GARCH forecast command
Hello - In GARCH models, the input argument ‘numPeriods’ represents forecast horizon, say the conditional volatility for y(t...

3 years ago | 0

Answered
How to subtract two matrices of character type arrays?
You may consider row-wise comparison (possibly in a FOR loop) setxor({'a','b','c','d','e'},{'a','b'}) setxor({'a','b','c',...

3 years ago | 0

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Answered
panel ols with unbalanced data
Hi Alberto, For an unbalanced panel data set, one may consider padding NaNs in the response variables for those cross-section...

3 years ago | 1

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Answered
converting garchsim with simulate or filter
Hello Sandro, GARCHSIM has been retired and is no longer available in the Econometrics Toolbox. One way to recover "preRe...

3 years ago | 0

Answered
arima object failed to initialize.
The properties of the ARIMA object can be reset by users. These codes should work. If not, the function might be corrupted. For ...

3 years ago | 0

Answered
using"filter" - error message for inputs 'Y0'
The filter method of GARCH does have a name-value pair Y0. The demo runs smoothly on my computer. If it generates that error, I ...

3 years ago | 0

Answered
How to estimate NAIRU in a state space model of the econometrics toolbox
It seems that the constructed SSM is not exactly the same as the one described in the equations. Usually C and D is a low-dimens...

3 years ago | 0

Answered
How to avoid GARCH estimation model to show output in the command window?
Hi Haoqing, To suppress display, we can add a name-value pair 'Display', say EstMdlGARCH_i=estimate(Mdl,r(i:i+843),'Displa...

3 years ago | 1

Answered
Seemingly Unrelated Regressions (SUR) with equivalent of the White or Newey-West covariance matrix?
Hi Ilona, Suppose that we have a SUR with n equations and T periods. First, estimate a SUR system using the function VGXVA...

3 years ago | 0

Answered
Time Series Forecasting after taking first differences
Hi shackelferd, Time series regression of non-stationary, but not cointegrated, data may suffer from the “spurious regressio...

3 years ago | 0

Answered
Is it possible to triangularize the VAR system in order to orthogonalize the innovations?
Hi Richard, I think it depends on the VAR specification. If the triangularized model looks like Y(t) = A1 * Y(t-1) + A...

3 years ago | 0

Answered
Creating a block matrix of matrices?
Hello, If the FOR loop is not your choice, you may consider the following: >> A = [1 1]; >> B = [2 2]; >> C = blkdia...

3 years ago | 1

| accepted

Answered
Estimate ARMA(1,1) using estimate: Parameter AR(1) is missing
The problem appears unusual. I tried your codes estimate(arima('ARLag',1,'MALag',1,'Constant',0),y) However, the software...

3 years ago | 0

Answered
Detrend timeseries of conditional heteroscedasticiy using GARCH(1,1)
Hi Jannic, To remove the conditional variance from the observations, we may first estimate the model, and then we infer the c...

4 years ago | 1

| accepted

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