harville

The Harville method for exacta, quinella and trifecta probabilities

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The basic Harville method for estimating place, show, quinella, exacta and trifecta probabilities from win probabilities. Used and abused by bookmakers and punters the world over.

There are many valid critiques of this formula. Most recently "Explaining the Favorite-Longshot Bias: Is it Risk-Love or
Misperceptions" by Erik Snowberg and Justin Wolfers. See also
"discounted harville formula" (google).

Cite As

Peter Cotton (2026). harville (https://www.mathworks.com/matlabcentral/fileexchange/28483-harville), MATLAB Central File Exchange. Retrieved .

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General Information

MATLAB Release Compatibility

  • Compatible with any release

Platform Compatibility

  • Windows
  • macOS
  • Linux
Version Published Release Notes Action
1.0.0.0